BMI View: In 2014 we expect that Belarus will continue to align its security and economy with Russia, even though Belarus has entered into increasing amounts of talks with Western European nations. That said the two countries are currently embroiled in a dispute over the break-up and a joint venture in the potash industry, which has resulted in Russia taking punitive action which will damage the Belarusian economy. President Alexander Lukashenko will remain in power over the long-term as opposition parties remain ineffective under state repression. In the 2012 parliamentary election, no opposition candidates were elected and a number of …
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